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Date of Prediction: 2012-11-05 Version:8

Prediction Map
Flo MapPrediction Key

Confidence Map
Flo MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem332
 
Rep206
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem332
 
Rep206
 
Ind0
 
Tos0
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem000-2-1-27272332-27
Rep+2+1+27000222179+27
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

ScoreState WinsState PercentagesCD WinsCD Percentages
99514053
piepiepiepiepie

Analysis

This is my prediction for President Obama and Governor Romney tomorrow at Election Night. If Congressman Paul had been nominated, Iowa and Wisconsin would be GOP. If Governor Perry, South and North Carolina would be tossups. If Senator Santorum was nominated, it would be this same map. If Congressman Gingrich was nominated... President Obama would be around 370-440 Electoral Votes.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments
 By: ground_x (D-NY) 2012-11-06 @ 00:03:57 prediction Map
Dude: Seems you, Leif and I have virtually the same maps! I am still debating Florida; in the Senate, I agree that Tester holds on in Montana, the Reid machine will pull Berkley in Nevada. We can hope...


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2024 President /56 /56 /112 % pie 234
P 2016 President 46/56 24/56 70/112 62.5% pie 19 0 567T678
P 2016 Senate 30/34 15/34 45/68 66.2% pie 13 0 277T362
P 2016 Governor 7/12 5/12 12/24 50.0% pie 12 0 164T279
P 2015 Governor 2/3 2/3 4/6 66.7% pie 6 1 8T112
P 2014 Senate 31/36 23/36 54/72 75.0% pie 36 1 138T382
P 2014 Governor 30/36 21/36 51/72 70.8% pie 34 1 22T300
P 2013 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 3 36 17T153
P 2012 President 56/56 43/56 99/112 88.4% pie 8 1 146T760
P 2012 Senate 31/33 16/33 47/66 71.2% pie 1 1 164T343
P 2012 Rep Primary 27/52 2/52 29/104 27.9% pie 5 - 161T231
Aggregate Predictions 262/320 152/320 414/640 64.7% pie



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