PredictionsMock2012 Presidential Predictions - NHI (I-NH) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2012-10-29 Version:3

Prediction Map
NHI MapPrediction Key

Confidence Map
NHI MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem259
 
Rep279
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem242
 
Rep257
 
Ind0
 
Tos39
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem000-7-1-100222259-100
Rep+7+1+100000222179+100
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

ScoreState WinsState PercentagesCD WinsCD Percentages
93463854
piepiepiepiepie

Analysis

Romney can still pull out a win without Ohio. A victory in Wisconsin and New Hampshire gets him to 271. Romney also gets to 277 with NH, IA, WI. He also gets to 273 with WI, IA. Ohio is important, but he can pull it out without the Buckeye State.
Ultimately it will be a narrow Romney win.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2020 President 53/56 42/56 95/112 84.8% pie 2 56 179T684
P 2020 Senate 30/35 20/35 50/70 71.4% pie 1 54 274T423
P 2020 Governor 10/11 5/11 15/22 68.2% pie 1 56 249T293
P 2016 President 51/56 33/56 84/112 75.0% pie 1 2 87T678
P 2016 Senate /34 /34 /68 0.0% pie 2457701 362
P 2016 Governor 9/12 3/12 12/24 50.0% pie 1 194 164T279
P 2014 Senate 31/36 12/36 43/72 59.7% pie 4 22 299T382
P 2014 Governor 28/36 13/36 41/72 56.9% pie 2 241 224T300
P 2013 Governor 2/2 0/2 2/4 50.0% pie 1 219 98T153
P 2012 President 51/56 42/56 93/112 83.0% pie 3 8 401T760
Aggregate Predictions 265/334 170/334 435/668 65.1% pie



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