Election 2012 Presidential Predictions

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Election Data

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Date of Prediction: 2012-05-26 Version:16

Prediction Map
BYUmormon Map

Prediction Key	Confidence Key

Confidence Map
BYUmormon Map

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	266
Rep	272
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	253
Rep	248
Ind	0
Tos	37

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	0	0	0	-6	-1	-93	23	2	266	-93
Rep	+6	+1	+93	0	0	0	22	2	179	+93
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages	CD Wins	CD Percentages
91	47	35	5	4

Analysis

This would be how I think Mitt Romney could win. He would have to have a great campaign, do well in the debates, and the economy would have to get worse. It's unlikely but possible.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

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User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank
2012 President	52/56	39/56	91/112	81.3%	16	164	466	T
2012 Senate	29/33	12/33	41/66	62.1%	3	195	241	T
2012 Governor	10/11	8/11	18/22	81.8%	2	195	24	T
2012 Rep Primary	39/52	11/52	50/104	48.1%	9	-	71	T
Aggregate Predictions	130/152	70/152	200/304	65.8%