Election 2012 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2012-05-27 Version:1

Prediction Map

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	217
Rep	321
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	217
Rep	318
Ind	0
Tos	3

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	0	0	0	-10	-1	-142	19	2	217	-142
Rep	+10	+1	+142	0	0	0	22	2	179	+142
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages	CD Wins	CD Percentages
83	43	32	5	3

Analysis

This prediction is applicable as of June 1st, 2012. It reflects the effects of the disastrous decisions to:

1) publicly politicize same sex marriage;
2) single out the Catholic church's core position to be impacted by the Affordable Care Act;
3) ineptly create a "war on woman" issue; and
4) wage an open war against capitalism;

More to be added later.

Adam

Member Comments

By: Americanadian (D-ON) 2012-05-28 @ 18:13:11
I know your map says as of June 01 but I couldn't help myself... CO and NV DEM with NM GOP??? IA DEM with MI GOP??? MT a toss up while about a dozen lean GOP states that will go DEM before MT??? WI Strong GOP??? Come on, give your head a good shake :) Then try again!

By: Twindad46 (R-IL) 2012-05-28 @ 23:59:13
The first commenter is right. If WI and MI go Republican, so will IA. Also, CO and NV are far more likely than NM to vote for Romney.

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2012 President	48/56	35/56	83/112	74.1%	1	163	640	T	760
Aggregate Predictions	48/56	35/56	83/112	74.1%

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