Election 2012 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2012-08-17 Version:17

Prediction Map

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	303
Rep	235
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	237
Rep	205
Ind	0
Tos	96

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	0	0	0	-3	-1	-56	26	2	303	-56
Rep	+3	+1	+56	0	0	0	22	2	179	+56
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages	CD Wins	CD Percentages
95	50	36	5	4

Analysis

Barack Obama versus "Willard" Mitt the Lying Empty Suit Alien Barely Human Awkward Phony Despicable Lays-Off-the-Working Man Yet Only Pays 13% Tax Rate Elitist Mormon Corrupt Lies Betrays America by Financial Fraud Embarrassing Stain on Humanity Romney

My analysis is sound, stable, and irrefutable.

Analysis based upon combination of poll data and trends. Paul Ryan put Wisconsin "into play" but like all VP picks it won't make a plum of a difference. Wisconsin is not a Republican state.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2014 Senate	32/36	19/36	51/72	70.8%	7	1	200	T	382
2012 President	55/56	40/56	95/112	84.8%	17	81	314	T	760
2012 Senate	30/33	21/33	51/66	77.3%	2	40	94	T	343
2012 Rep Primary	35/52	8/52	43/104	41.3%	7	-	102	T	231
2010 Senate	32/37	18/37	50/74	67.6%	8	5	221	T	456
2008 President	52/56	39/56	91/112	81.3%	15	8	200	T	1,505
2008 Senate	31/33	15/33	46/66	69.7%	1	26	227	T	407
2008 Governor	10/11	5/11	15/22	68.2%	1	26	183	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	30/52	13/52	43/104	41.3%	2	-	90	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	28/49	6/49	34/98	34.7%	2	-	111	T	235
2006 U.S. Senate	32/33	15/33	47/66	71.2%	1	44	232	T	465
2004 President	51/56	31/56	82/112	73.2%	32	1	1036	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	418/504	230/504	648/1008	64.3%