A minor update for the Romney-Ryan ticket. While Ryan may help Romney pick up the fiscal libertarians, including the very enthusiastic (though not particularly numerous) Ron Paul supporters, it does little to energize the social conservative base.

Not that that makes that much of a difference, as most of the hotbeds of social conservatism are already safe Republican. However, lack of enthusiasm could hurt him some on the mid-Atlantic seaboard - particularly in Virginia and NC (the only flip on my map).

But the bigger problem with Ryan is that fear-mongering (whether justified or not) about his attitudes on social security and medicare is likely to send Florida straight into Obama's hands - and Florida is pretty much a must win for Romney if he wants the oval office.