PredictionsMock2012 Presidential Predictions - boris78 (D-IL) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2012-11-05 Version:2

Prediction Map
boris78 MapPrediction Key

Confidence Map
boris78 MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem303
 
Rep235
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem261
 
Rep206
 
Ind0
 
Tos71
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem000-3-1-56262303-56
Rep+3+1+56000222179+56
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

ScoreState WinsState PercentagesCD WinsCD Percentages
102504255
piepiepiepiepie

Analysis

Final Prediction:

National: Obama 50.31%-48.52%

Alabama: Romney 58-40
Alaska: Romney 59-38
Arizona: Romney 55-44
Arkansas: Romney 58-40
California: Obama 58-40
Colorado: Obama 50-49
Connecticut: Obama 55-44
Delaware: Obama 58-40
District of Columbia: Obama 91-8
Florida: Romney 49.7-49.1
Georgia: Romney 57-42
Hawaii: Obama 66-33
Idaho: Romney 66-33
Illinois: Obama 59-40
Indiana: Romney 54-45
Iowa: Obama 50-49
Kansas: Romney 59-39
Kentucky: Romney 58-40
Maine: Obama 55-44
Louisiana: Romney 58-41
Maryland: Obama 58-41
Massachusetts: Obama 58-40
Michigan: Obama 52-47
Minnesota: Obama 52-47
Mississippi: Romney 57-42
Missouri: Romney 53-46
Montana: Romney 54-45
Nebraska: Romney 59-39
Nevada: Obama 50-47
New Hampshire: Obama 50-49
New Jersey: Obama 55-44
New Mexico: Obama 53-46
New York: Obama 60-38
North Carolina: Romney 53-45
North Dakota: Romney 58-40
Ohio: Obama 51-48
Oklahoma: Romney 67-32
Oregon: Obama 55-44
Pennsylvania: Obama 51-48
Rhode Island: Obama 60-39
South Carolina: Romney 58-40
South Dakota: Romney 57-42
Tennessee: Romney 59-40
Texas: Romney 59-40
Utah: Romney 70-28
Vermont: Obama 63-36
Virginia: Obama 49.7-49.3
Washington: Obama 57-42
West Virginia: Romney 59-40
Wisconsin: Obama 50-49
Wyoming: Romney 66-33


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2012 President 55/56 47/56 102/112 91.1% pie 2 1 47T760
P 2012 Rep Primary 0/52 0/52 0/104 0.0% pie 1 - 228T231
P 2010 Senate 34/37 27/37 61/74 82.4% pie 2 1 34T456
P 2009 Governor 2/2 2/2 4/4 100.0% pie 1 2 1T103
P 2008 President 51/56 41/56 92/112 82.1% pie 13 1 178T1,505
P 2008 Senate 32/33 19/33 51/66 77.3% pie 4 1 96T407
P 2008 Governor 11/11 9/11 20/22 90.9% pie 2 1 9T264
P 2008 Dem Primary 23/52 8/52 31/104 29.8% pie 7 - 147T271
P 2008 Rep Primary 18/49 11/49 29/98 29.6% pie 5 - 132T235
P 2007 Governor 3/3 3/3 6/6 100.0% pie 1 182 1T167
P 2006 U.S. Senate 32/33 23/33 55/66 83.3% pie 19 1 46T465
P 2006 Governor 35/36 30/36 65/72 90.3% pie 22 1 1T312
Aggregate Predictions 296/420 220/420 516/840 61.4% pie



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