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Date of Prediction: 2012-11-05 Version:7

Prediction Map
Aguagon Map


Prediction KeyConfidence Key
Prediction KeyConfidence Key

Confidence Map
Aguagon Map


Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem303
 
Rep235
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem237
 
Rep191
 
Ind0
 
Tos110
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem000-3-1-56262303-56
Rep+3+1+56000222179+56
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

ScoreState WinsState PercentagesCD WinsCD Percentages
102504255
piepiepiepiepie

Analysis

My final answer.

Romney had an impressive comeback over the last month, but the state polling suggests it won't be enough.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2014 Senate 33/36 27/36 60/72 83.3% pie 3 1 21T
P 2014 Governor 31/36 17/36 48/72 66.7% pie 3 1 73T
P 2013 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 1 64 17T
P 2012 President 55/56 47/56 102/112 91.1% pie 7 1 47T
P 2012 Senate 32/33 24/33 56/66 84.8% pie 7 1 11T
P 2012 Governor 10/11 6/11 16/22 72.7% pie 4 1 89T
P 2012 Rep Primary 37/52 16/52 53/104 51.0% pie 23 - 64T
P 2010 Senate 34/37 27/37 61/74 82.4% pie 8 0 34T
P 2010 Governor 35/37 28/37 63/74 85.1% pie 4 0 11T
P 2009 Governor 2/2 2/2 4/4 100.0% pie 5 21 1T
P 2008 President 54/56 47/56 101/112 90.2% pie 13 1 6T
P 2008 Senate 32/33 23/33 55/66 83.3% pie 8 1 28T
P 2008 Governor 11/11 8/11 19/22 86.4% pie 3 1 27T
P 2008 Dem Primary 39/52 22/52 61/104 58.7% pie 20 - 38T
P 2008 Rep Primary 38/49 21/49 59/98 60.2% pie 17 - 14
P 2007 Governor 3/3 3/3 6/6 100.0% pie 1 169 1T
P 2006 U.S. Senate 31/33 27/33 58/66 87.9% pie 7 2 10T
P 2006 Governor 35/36 23/36 58/72 80.6% pie 8 1 44T
Aggregate Predictions 514/575 369/575 883/1150 76.8% pie



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