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Date of Prediction: 2012-11-05 Version:4

Prediction Map
Mark Warner 08 MapPrediction Key

Confidence Map
Mark Warner 08 MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem303
 
Rep235
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem275
 
Rep191
 
Ind0
 
Tos72
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem000-3-1-56262303-56
Rep+3+1+56000222179+56
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

ScoreState WinsState PercentagesCD WinsCD Percentages
103504355
piepiepiepiepie

Analysis

2012 President:

AL: 61-38 Romney
AK: 61-34 Romney
AZ: 53-44 Romney
AR: 60-38 Romney
CA: 58-39 Obama
CO: 50-47 Obama
CT: 56-42 Obama
DE: 57-41 Obama
DC: 91-8 Obama
FL: 50-49 Romney (rounding, Romney wins with less than 50%)
GA: 52-46 Romney

HI: 67-32 Obama
ID: 68-29 Romney
IL: 58-40 Obama
IN: 55-44 Romney
IA: 50-48 Obama
KS: 58-41 Romney
KY: 58-41 Romney
LA: 59-40 Romney
ME: 55-44 Obama (ME-02: 51-47 Obama)
MD: 60-38 Obama

MA: 58-39 Obama (Stein: 2%)
MI: 53-45 Obama
MN: 53-45 Obama
MS: 57-42 Romney
MO: 53-46 Romney
MT: 52-44 Romney
NE: 58-41 Romney (NE-02: 53-45 Romney)
NV: 52-44 Obama
NH: 51-47 Obama
NJ: 57-41 Obama

NM: 51-41 Obama (Johnson: 7%)
NY: 60-38 Obama
NC: 50-48 Romney (rounding, Romney wins with less than 50%)
ND: 57-41 Romney
OH: 51-47 Obama
OK: 67-33 Romney
OR: 54-44 Obama
PA: 53-46 Obama
RI: 60-39 Obama
SC: 54-45 Romney

SD: 55-44 Romney
TN: 58-40 Romney
TX: 58-41 Romney
UT: 74-22 Romney (Anderson: 2%)
VT: 63-35 Obama
VA: 50-47 Obama (Goode: 2%)
WA: 56-42 Obama
WV: 56-42 Romney
WI: 51-47 Obama
WY: 65-34 Romney


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2014 Senate 32/36 25/36 57/72 79.2% pie 8 0 82T
P 2014 Governor 31/36 23/36 54/72 75.0% pie 8 0 4T
P 2013 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 5 1 17T
P 2012 President 55/56 48/56 103/112 92.0% pie 4 1 26T
P 2012 Senate 33/33 22/33 55/66 83.3% pie 5 1 20T
P 2012 Governor 11/11 7/11 18/22 81.8% pie 4 1 24T
P 2012 Rep Primary 46/52 23/52 69/104 66.3% pie 32 - 8T
P 2011 Governor 4/4 1/4 5/8 62.5% pie 4 2 37T
P 2010 Senate 35/37 29/37 64/74 86.5% pie 9 1 6T
P 2010 Governor 35/37 28/37 63/74 85.1% pie 7 1 11T
P 2009 Governor 2/2 2/2 4/4 100.0% pie 3 0 1T
P 2008 President 52/56 44/56 96/112 85.7% pie 18 1 74T
P 2008 Senate 33/33 23/33 56/66 84.8% pie 4 1 14T
P 2008 Governor 11/11 9/11 20/22 90.9% pie 2 1 9T
P 2008 Dem Primary 21/52 9/52 30/104 28.8% pie 3 - 150T
P 2008 Rep Primary 13/49 4/49 17/98 17.3% pie 3 - 169T
P 2007 Governor 3/3 3/3 6/6 100.0% pie 3 86 1T
P 2006 U.S. Senate 33/33 24/33 57/66 86.4% pie 70 0 20T
P 2006 Governor 35/36 26/36 61/72 84.7% pie 52 0 22T
Aggregate Predictions 487/579 351/579 838/1158 72.4% pie



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