Election 2012 Republican Presidential Primary Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2012-02-11 Version:11

Prediction Map

sjkqw Map

Prediction Key

Confidence Map

sjkqw Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		26 \|	52 \|
Huntsman	0
Gingrich	1
Romney	20
Paul	6
Santorum	25
Cain	0
Perry	0
Other	0

Confidence States Won

		26 \|	52 \|
Huntsman	0
Gingrich	1
Romney	20
Paul	6
Santorum	25
Cain	0
Perry	0
Other	0
Tossup	0

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

By: BYUmormon (R-UT) 2012-02-28 @ 14:37:31
I think you could be on to something, but you should put confidence in states. For example Utah is filled with Mormons(me and Romney's religion) and yet you put lean. If your going to make a change, put Utah as strong Romney 70% ,80% or even 90%.

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2022 Senate	34/35	20/35	54/70	77.1%		4	0	205	T	305
2022 Governor	33/36	22/36	55/72	76.4%		4	0	173	T	272
2021 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%		3	13	48	T	118
2020 President	53/56	39/56	92/112	82.1%		5	7	307	T	684
2020 Senate	33/35	22/35	55/70	78.6%		4	6	66	T	423
2018 Senate	32/35	21/35	53/70	75.7%		2	0	132	T	483
2018 Governor	33/36	27/36	60/72	83.3%		1	2	18	T	372
2017 Governor	2/2	0/2	2/4	50.0%		1	36	98	T	149
2016 President	50/56	33/56	83/112	74.1%		4	8	114	T	678
2016 Senate	28/34	16/34	44/68	64.7%		3	8	302	T	362
2016 Governor	7/12	4/12	11/24	45.8%		1	542	223	T	279
2015 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%		1	253	8	T	112
2014 Senate	28/36	11/36	39/72	54.2%		1	594	342	T	382
2014 Governor	27/36	12/36	39/72	54.2%		1	594	253	T	300
2012 President	53/56	44/56	97/112	86.6%		3	9	227	T	760
2012 Senate	26/33	12/33	38/66	57.6%		2	9	283	T	343
2012 Rep Primary	30/52	8/52	38/104	36.5%		12	-	114	T	231
2011 Governor	4/4	4/4	8/8	100.0%		1	107	1		106
2010 Senate	35/37	24/37	59/74	79.7%		11	7	63	T	456
2010 Governor	30/37	22/37	52/74	70.3%		12	4	143	T	312
Aggregate Predictions	541/633	344/633	885/1266	69.9%

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