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Date of Prediction: 2011-11-18 Version:3
Prediction Map Confidence Map
Prediction States Won
Confidence States Won
Analysis
I've revised my prediction to have Newt do better early and Romney drops after losing Arizona and Michigan on February 28. Paul will remain as may some of the ideologues, but the nomination will be secure by then. Only reason I have Romney winning Alaska and Washington is because they are early caucus states. Had they been primaries, I'd have placed those in Newt's column as well.
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