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 Date of Prediction: 2011-12-19 Version:1

Prediction Map
Antonio V Map


Prediction KeyConfidence Key
Prediction KeyConfidence Key

Confidence Map
Antonio V Map


Prediction States Won
26 |
52 |
pie
Huntsman0
 
Gingrich2
 
Romney1
 
Paul1
 
Santorum0
 
Cain0
 
Perry0
 
Other48
 
 

Confidence States Won
26 |
52 |
pie
Huntsman0
 
Gingrich0
 
Romney0
 
Paul0
 
Santorum0
 
Cain0
 
Perry0
 
Other0
 
Tossup52
 

Analysis

For the time being, limiting the analysis to the initial States, as these first results will determine the next ones.

Iowa : Gingrich is going down quickly and Paul seems narrowly ahead. Looks like it will be a dead heat between Paul and Romney, but Paul is more likely to benefit from the momentum.

NH : Hard to see Romney losing now that its most serious contender seems gone. However, I'll wait for Iowa before giving any certainty to my prediction.

SC and Florida : Gingrich had a solid lead in previous polls, but IA and NH will most likely ruin his momentum and he might very way lose there too.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


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User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2012 President 56/56 48/56 104/112 92.9% pie 15 0 13T
P 2012 Senate 31/33 19/33 50/66 75.8% pie 11 0 111T
P 2012 Governor 11/11 7/11 18/22 81.8% pie 2 31 24T
P 2012 Rep Primary 44/52 23/52 67/104 64.4% pie 27 - 16T
P 2010 Senate 34/37 28/37 62/74 83.8% pie 19 0 21T
P 2010 Governor 35/37 24/37 59/74 79.7% pie 10 0 59T
P 2009 Governor 1/2 0/2 1/4 25.0% pie 1 12 92T
P 2008 President 54/56 45/56 99/112 88.4% pie 9 0 26T
P 2008 Senate 33/33 27/33 60/66 90.9% pie 5 0 1T
P 2008 Governor 10/11 4/11 14/22 63.6% pie 1 5 212T
Aggregate Predictions 309/328 225/328 534/656 81.4% pie



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