PredictionsMock2016 Presidential Predictions - WinstonOBoogie (D-ON) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2016-06-29 Version:1

Prediction Map
WinstonOBoogie MapPrediction Key

Confidence Map
WinstonOBoogie MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem358
 
Rep180
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem265
 
Rep170
 
Ind0
 
Tos103
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem+20+26000272332+26
Rep000-20-26223180-26
Ind0000000000


Analysis

So this is where we start for the 2016 election. Clinton vs Trump. I was expecting the 2012 results + North Carolina for the past few months, but I was not expecting to see Clinton up in Arizona! It's quite close there, though, as it is in North Carolina. In fact, I think North Carolina seems to be the closest state in the Union. There are only a few weeks until the RNC, which will be followed closely by the RNC. Regarding Brexit, I really don't think that it foreshadows anything about the Presidential election. UK pollsters were pretty poor in last year's election, unlike in the US. Also, the electoral systems are different, as are demographics. There are 132 days until the election.


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User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2024 President /56 /56 /112 % pie 245
P 2023 Governor 3/3 3/3 6/6 100.0% pie 5 2 1T115
P 2022 Senate 35/35 29/35 64/70 91.4% pie 23 1 7T305
P 2022 Governor 35/36 28/36 63/72 87.5% pie 39 1 11T272
P 2021 Governor 1/2 1/2 2/4 50.0% pie 2 11 48T118
P 2020 President 53/56 40/56 93/112 83.0% pie 14 6 260T684
P 2020 Senate 31/35 22/35 53/70 75.7% pie 14 4 137T423
P 2020 Governor 11/11 7/11 18/22 81.8% pie 11 6 51T293
P 2019 Governor 2/3 2/3 4/6 66.7% pie 4 4 35T192
P 2018 Senate 32/35 26/35 58/70 82.9% pie 9 1 15T483
P 2018 Governor 32/36 29/36 61/72 84.7% pie 12 3 6T372
P 2016 President 51/56 33/56 84/112 75.0% pie 13 1 87T678
P 2016 Senate 32/34 21/34 53/68 77.9% pie 11 1 16T362
P 2016 Governor 9/12 4/12 13/24 54.2% pie 6 1 119T279
Aggregate Predictions 327/354 245/354 572/708 80.8% pie



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