Election 2016 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2016-07-26 Version:2

Prediction Map

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	186
Rep	352
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	185
Rep	206
Ind	0
Tos	147

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	0	0	0	-12	0	-146	15	2	186	-146
Rep	+12	0	+146	0	0	0	24	3	206	+146
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Analysis

ELECTION 2016 [Potential] | • Donald Trump (R-New York), 52 percent (352 electoral votes)—Pickup! (Shift, from 2012, estimated at R+10) | • Hillary Clinton (D-New York), 46 percent (186 electoral votes) | 07.26.2016 | The DNC e-mails from Wikileaks were explosive. Logically, they have caused me to change my predictions to this map. I actually posted this map in a thread on 02.21.2016. I may revise it, as the general-election period continues, but this is really a loose presentation of the potential of what the map may look like. | @ http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=229955.msg4926045#msg4926045

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2016 President	4/56	0/56	4/112	3.6%	3	60	677		678
2012 President	56/56	42/56	98/112	87.5%	8	10	182	T	760
2012 Senate	31/33	18/33	49/66	74.2%	2	45	128	T	343
2010 Senate	32/37	21/37	53/74	71.6%	5	32	167	T	456
2010 Governor	33/37	23/37	56/74	75.7%	1	32	106	T	312
2009 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%	1	3	1	T	103
2008 President	50/56	38/56	88/112	78.6%	10	2	276	T	1,505
2008 Senate	30/33	14/33	44/66	66.7%	2	24	281	T	407
Aggregate Predictions	238/310	158/310	396/620	63.9%