Date of Prediction: 2015-08-28 Version:55
Prediction Map Confidence Map
Prediction States Won
Confidence States Won
State Pick-ups
Analysis
Sadly the politics of the WDBJ7 shooting in Roanoke VA could hurt us Dems big time in arguably the most crucial swing state in the nation in the 2016 presidential election, and probably other key swing states as well. I say that because people here in southern WV are very, very angry right now and racial tensions here are worse than I've ever, ever seen before in my entire lifetime, and I'm 100 percent certain it's the same way if not worse in our neighbors in southwestern VA the the Roanoke, Lynchburg, Danville, and Martinsville areas especially, and most likely on Virginia Tech campus as well. We Dems were already going to get crushed west of Lynchburg there but it's really going to be bad now. We do need to hold our own there plus win the traditionally Democratic parts of VA like the Washington DC suburbs of course and the Richmond and Hampton Roads areas as well. Blacks and other minority turnouts' are keytoo. We'll have to see if this still resonates on Election Day 2016 like it is now. It will almost certainly hurt us Dems in the other key swing state of NC as well and probably take away any chance we have there. It could hurt us in OHIO OHIO OHIO (looking more and more like the 2nd most important swing state now) too there is at least a small VA-OH there especially in southern OH. VIRGINIA VIRGINIA VIRGINIA right now is huge no question about it. Also the "270 firewall" doesn't mean a darn thing if we Dems don't hold on to VA. I'd now say that it's a good bet that Tim Kaine will the be Dem VP pick doesn't matter whom the Democratic nominee is whether it be Hillary, Bernie, or Biden just because of VA and VA alone. Again just more proof that anything and everything can happen daily in politics. Wait and see as always.
Prediction History
Comments History
- show
Version History Member Comments User's Predictions
Links
|
Back to 2016 Presidential Prediction Home - Predictions Home