This is a map for a 3-way election. This assumes either Trump makes good on his threat to run as an independent if not nominated by the Republicans. Or, as an alternative you could assume a more significant than usual minor candidacy by a 3rd party (such as the Libertarians) due to a lackluster Republican nominee. A split conservative vote would hand Hillary the vast majority of states and Electoral Votes with them by narrow pluralities. Please feel free to add speculation in appropriate comments.