Election 2016 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2016-10-10 Version:9

Prediction Map

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	359
Rep	179
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	297
Rep	104
Ind	0
Tos	137

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	+2	+1	+27	0	0	0	27	2	332	+27
Rep	0	0	0	-2	-1	-27	22	2	179	-27
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages	CD Wins	CD Percentages
68	43	20	3	2

Analysis

Moving the percentages back into Clinton's favour to reflect the recent shift in polling / public opinion. EC 2:1 in Clinton's favour means a blowout win for her this election. Dems take a small Senate majority, too, which also means swinging the Supreme Court finally out of the hands of the conservatives.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2022 Senate	29/35	19/35	48/70	68.6%	2	54	280	T	305
2020 President	51/56	39/56	90/112	80.4%	4	41	392	T	684
2020 Senate	30/35	18/35	48/70	68.6%	2	27	337	T	423
2016 President	46/56	22/56	68/112	60.7%	9	29	590	T	678
2016 Senate	26/34	7/34	33/68	48.5%	4	104	359		362
2014 Senate	28/36	14/36	42/72	58.3%	7	9	308	T	382
2014 Governor	26/36	10/36	36/72	50.0%	4	24	276	T	300
2013 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%	1	167	17	T	153
2012 President	56/56	36/56	92/112	82.1%	9	12	435	T	760
2012 Senate	31/33	18/33	49/66	74.2%	4	22	128	T	343
2012 Rep Primary	35/52	9/52	44/104	42.3%	11	-	98	T	231
Aggregate Predictions	360/431	193/431	553/862	64.2%

Links

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