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Date of Prediction: 2016-11-08 Version:3
Prediction Map Confidence Map
Prediction States Won
Confidence States Won
State Pick-ups
Prediction Score (max Score = 112)
Analysis
Shifted a few things around in the end; gave GA to Trump, AK to Clinton. Still can't imagine either major candidate winning UT; gave the state to McMullin, even though he seems to be receding. Final PV to be C50-T42-J5-Other3 (would be amusing to see McMullin beat Stein for fourth place, though I think it's doubtful). Final EV projection is C362-T170-M6. <br /> <br /> Even if Trump were to sweep all Tossups and Leans D states, there is a rock-hard 274 EV safe Clinton firewall that is clearly not penetrable. <br /> <br /> Went out on a bit of a limb for Ohio, but I really don't see it coming together for Trump. Might swing to him, but won't be enough for a win.
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