Election 2016 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2015-11-15 Version:1

Prediction Map

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	270
Rep	268
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	236
Rep	206
Ind	0
Tos	96

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	0	0	0	-4	0	-62	23	2	270	-62
Rep	+4	0	+62	0	0	0	24	3	206	+62
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages	CD Wins	CD Percentages
72	47	19	4	2

Analysis

Clinton/O'Malley over Bush/Ernst. I didn't realize the margin would be this close when I picked the states. Bush/Ernst take FL and IA but still fall just short.

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2021 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%	1	71	48	T	118
2018 Senate	31/35	19/35	50/70	71.4%	1	357	246	T	483
2017 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%	1	116	40	T	149
2016 President	51/56	21/56	72/112	64.3%	1	359	527	T	678
2016 Senate	31/34	16/34	47/68	69.1%	1	359	213	T	362
2016 Governor	7/12	5/12	12/24	50.0%	1	359	164	T	279
Aggregate Predictions	123/141	63/141	186/282	66.0%