Election 2006 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2006-10-01 Version:4

Prediction Map

jtfdem Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

jtfdem Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	21
Rep	10
Ind	2
Non	17

Confidence States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	17
Rep	8
Ind	1
Tos	7
Non	17

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+5	+1	+6	-1	-1	-2	13	2	15	+4
Rep	+1	0	+1	-5	-1	-6	9	0	9	-5
Ind	0	+1	+1	0	0	0	0	1	1	+1

Predicted Senate Control (110th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	21	27	48
Republican	10	40	50
Independent	2	0	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
51	30	21

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Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

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Version History

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User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2008 President	52/56	37/56	89/112	79.5%		1	161	247	T	1,505
2008 Senate	31/33	19/33	50/66	75.8%		1	161	117	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	9/11	20/22	90.9%		1	161	9	T	264
2006 U.S. Senate	30/33	21/33	51/66	77.3%		4	37	133	T	465
2006 Governor	35/36	19/36	54/72	75.0%		10	37	81	T	312
Aggregate Predictions	159/169	105/169	264/338	78.1%

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