Date of Prediction: 2006-11-06 Version:11
Prediction Map * = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat Confidence Map
Prediction States Won
Confidence States Won
State Pick-ups
Predicted Senate Control (110th Congress):
Prediction Score (max Score = 66)
Comments
Based on Mason-Dixon...changed NJ as mentioned before. And flipped Missouri (Talent just can't break a lead) and Virginia (biggest f***in shock of the entire election season). Missouri and Virginia could still go either way of course. Talk about an implosion, and now that the implosion has sustained itself this long...
Prediction History
Comments History
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Version: 10 See comments from before to explain changes. Version: 9 Based on comments from the Forum's Polling Expert ;-) it appears Chafee is out...at least Whitehouse is decent enough as a replacement, although he's not Langevin. :) Moved TN to tossup status (surprise, surprise)...Missouri and New Jersey could go either way as usual... Version: 8 I don't like Sherrod Brown...but I can't deny he's ahead... Version: 7 Switched Missouri back (that race fluctuates far too much for easy predictions), altered a few percentages and confidences here and there, and almost switched another two or three. This is also subject to further change... Version: 6 Making the obvious change here...there is still a long way to go until the election, of course, so expect more versions. :) Version: 5 Making some more adjustments...and I'll note that MO and RI could go either way at this point. MT has almost broken out of tossup status, but not yet. Holding firm on my other predictions for the moment. Version: 4 Returning to a normal prediction now... Version: 3 Having some fun with CT and RI ^_^ and making a few other changes...it would certainly make for an interesting Senate... Version: 2 Changed Virginia confidence - geez, how did I miss that one? O_o Version: 1 Analogy time! Republicans are to Florida as Democrats are to Ohio. ;-)
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