Election 2006 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2006-11-07 Version:11

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	22
Rep	9
Ind	2
Non	17

Confidence States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	21
Rep	8
Ind	1
Tos	3
Non	17

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+6	0	+6	0	-1	-1	14	2	16	+5
Rep	0	0	0	-6	0	-6	8	1	9	-6
Ind	0	+1	+1	0	0	0	0	1	1	+1

Predicted Senate Control (110th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	22	27	49
Republican	9	40	49
Independent	2	0	2

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
55	33	22

Comments
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Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

By: db099221 (--CA) - 2006-11-07 @ 10:39:36

Final prediction. No prediction changes, just some confidence ones.

Last Edit: 2006-11-07 @ 10:40:09

By: Rock_nj (D-NJ) - 2006-11-07 @ 10:40:37

Looks good. That is the likely outcome today, if the polling is accurate.

By: db099221 (--CA) - 2006-11-07 @ 11:13:11

I need a serious answer here. Does anyone know if you have to spell a write-in candidate's name correctly? The reason I ask is TX-22.

By: Cuivienen (I-NJ) - 2006-11-07 @ 12:03:04

Yes, you do. Even if the hyphen in Sekula-Gibbs is missing, the vote is discounted.

By: db099221 (--CA) - 2006-11-07 @ 13:46:54

Thanks! Well, we can move that race into the Dem column.

By: db099221 (--CA) - 2006-11-07 @ 13:49:50

Everyone who is sick and tired of Republican corruption and abuse of power, hail SPEAKER NANCY PELOSI. Woohoo!

By: Rock_nj (D-NJ) - 2006-11-07 @ 14:18:44

I am sick and tired of the Republican corruption in the executive branch. They are running this country like a banana republic. Since when does the President have the authority to take the nation to war? This whole Iraq War is unconstitutional. Bush acts like a dictator of the Banana Republic of the United States of America.

By: db099221 (--CA) - 2006-11-08 @ 15:45:23

Just a quick recap of November 7:

Democrats win the House by about the same margin that Republicans previously had it.

Democrats win the Senate 51-49 (CNN and MSNBC have both projected Tester the winner; Allen can't overcome a 7,000-vote deficit. The not-yet-counted ballots are mostly from Fairfax County (Dem stronghold). BTW, VA has both a Dem Governor and Sec of State.)

Democrats win 6 Governorships.

Congratulations to everyone who predicted the election correctly! Hope to see you all in about 1.5 years!

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2008 President	52/56	43/56	95/112	84.8%	7	1	100	T	1,505
2007 Governor	3/3	2/3	5/6	83.3%	1	140	58	T	167
2006 U.S. Senate	33/33	22/33	55/66	83.3%	11	0	46	T	465
2006 Governor	35/36	28/36	63/72	87.5%	12	0	10	T	312
Aggregate Predictions	123/128	95/128	218/256	85.2%

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