Election 2006 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2006-08-09 Version:3

Prediction Map
EarlAW Map

EarlAW Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Prediction Key	Confidence Key

Confidence Map
EarlAW Map

EarlAW Map

Prediction States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	17
Rep	14
Ind	2
Non	17

Confidence States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	16
Rep	12
Ind	1
Tos	4
Non	17

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+1	0	+1	-1	0	-1	14	2	16	0
Rep	0	0	0	-1	0	-1	13	1	14	-1
Ind	+1	0	+1	0	0	0	0	1	1	+1

Predicted Senate Control (110th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	17	27	44
Republican	14	40	54
Independent	2	0	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
47	28	19

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Prediction History
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User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank
2012 President	55/56	46/56	101/112	90.2%		5	1	77	T
2012 Senate	31/33	22/33	53/66	80.3%		1	6	56	T
2012 Rep Primary	45/52	11/52	56/104	53.8%		19	-	58	T
2010 Senate	33/37	19/37	52/74	70.3%		2	42	181	T
2008 President	53/56	50/56	103/112	92.0%		53	0	2
2008 Senate	30/33	18/33	48/66	72.7%		1	125	172	T
2008 Dem Primary	36/52	15/52	51/104	49.0%		10	-	69	T
2008 Rep Primary	41/49	16/49	57/98	58.2%		13	-	18	T
2006 U.S. Senate	28/33	19/33	47/66	71.2%		3	90	232	T
2006 Governor	35/36	28/36	63/72	87.5%		4	1	10	T
2004 President	51/56	34/56	85/112	75.9%		3	21	706	T
Aggregate Predictions	438/493	278/493	716/986	72.6%

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