Date of Prediction: 2006-11-07 Version:7
* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat
Prediction States Won
Confidence States Won
Predicted Senate Control (110th Congress):
||Seats Not Up
I don't like the way things are looking in Montana, but I'm going to be bold and say that Democrats win in both Missouri and Virginia. In all honesty, I'm pessimistic about Democrats' chances of winning anywhere that it's close, but we'll see.
The breakdown of confidence goes like this:
Strong - I would be seriously, seriously surprised if the other candidate won this race. The other candidate should get nowhere near victory.
Lean - It's possible that the other candidate could win, but it's not the likely outcome. Victory here will likely be within single digits.
Tossup - I really have no idea what to think here. If the other guy won, I honestly would not be surprised. It's anybody's game, and whoever wins will win it with a very small margin.
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