Advertise on the Atlas

History Posters!
History of the Parties

Election and History Posters from History Shots!
Note: click will open in new window if pop-ups allowed

Prediction Map



* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Prediction Key	Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		25 |	33 |	50 |
Dem	22
Rep	9
Ind	2
Non	17

Confidence States Won

		25 |	33 |	50 |
Dem	15
Rep	8
Ind	2
Tos	8
Non	17

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+6	0	+6	0	-1	-1	14	2	16	+5
Rep	0	0	0	-6	0	-6	8	1	9	-6
Ind	0	+1	+1	0	0	0	0	1	1	+1

Predicted Senate Control (110th Congress):

Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats Democratic 22 27 49 Republican 9 40 49 Independent 2 0 2

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
57	33	24

Comments

Here's the breakdown on the more important races:

Arizona: Not a big race here anymore, leans Republican, and will be won by Kyl.

California: Feinstein will win, but I have no clue by how much. I'm keeping it in the 50% range since California is not a state known for large landslides with its huge popuation.

Connecticut: This race is another race that isn't so big, but I believe it will be close in the end. Liberman will win by a tight margin.

Delaware: Boring. Carper wins.

Florida: Nelson wins.

Indiana: Question, 80 or 90 percent?

Maine: Yet again, a question on percentages, 60 or 70 percent?

Maryland: This is the third closest race. In the end, Cardin will win with the Democratic leanings in the state.

Massachusetts: Dems win.

Michigan: Dems win.

Minnesota: Dems win.

Mississippi: When's the last time they polled here? This race could be close, but alas, I say Lott wins.

Missouri: The closest race out there. I have no clue who will win, and I will go with the candidate I prefer for this prediction.

Montana: A semi-close race. It looks like Tester should win, but a big Republican turnout is possible.

Nebraska: Nelson wins.

Nevada: Ensign wins.

New Jersey: The fourth closest race, I think Menendez will win, but its impossible to tell.

New York: Clinton wins.

North Dakota: Another place lacking polls. Conrad should win, but surprises are possible.

New Mexico: I missed this one, probably because it's not at all competitive.

Ohio: A close race, but I give it to the the Democrats.

Pennsylvania: No longer very competitive, the Dems are shoo-ins.

Rhode Island: A close race that will result in a win for Whitehouse.

Tennessee: I wish this race were closer. I want Ford to win, but the polls are not favoring him. This will still be a close race, but I'm giving it to the Republicans this time.

Texas: Republican win.

Utah: Republican win.

Vermont: Independent win. Bernie Sanders rules!

Virginia: A very close race, I believe this is my second closest race, and I have the feeling that Webb will win by a close margin.

Washington: My state! Maria Cantwell will win, and McGavick has so far had a declining campaign. This race has almost no ads anymore, probably because it's just not so competitive anymore.

West Virginia: Dems win.

Wisconsin: Dems win.

Wyoming: Thomas wins.

Prediction History

Comments History - show

Version History

12: 2006-11-03 @ 20:20:07 11: 2006-10-26 @ 22:11:26 10: 2006-10-02 @ 15:20:31 9: 2006-09-20 @ 11:32:56 8: 2006-09-16 @ 16:59:21 7: 2006-09-03 @ 23:40:34 6: 2006-08-29 @ 23:22:54 5: 2006-08-21 @ 12:20:24 4: 2006-05-06 @ 22:38:08 3: 2006-04-23 @ 12:20:32 2: 2006-04-22 @ 20:28:40 1: 2006-04-19 @ 19:27:59 View Version

Member Comments

 By: padfoot714 (D-OH) - 2006-11-03 @ 23:47:33

I think Ohio, Rhode Island, and New Jersey are probably leaners at this point. GOP is more concerned with protecting Allen and Talent.

---

 By: RepubforDem (R-IL) - 2006-11-04 @ 00:48:17

I still want to know if Dick Lugar is advocating a national sales tax.

---

 By: padfoot714 (D-OH) - 2006-11-04 @ 03:55:31

Who is he? Personally I would actually prefer a sales tax to an income tax.

---

Links

• View ottermax Gubernatorial Predictions
• View ottermax Senatorial Endorsements
• View Most Recent Entries
• View Entries with Most Recent Member Comments
• Go to Senatorial Prediction Home
• Update My 2006 Senatorial Prediction Map