Election 2006 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2006-11-05 Version:1

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	19
Rep	12
Ind	2
Non	17

Confidence States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	17
Rep	9
Ind	2
Tos	5
Non	17

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+3	0	+3	0	-1	-1	14	2	16	+2
Rep	0	0	0	-3	0	-3	11	1	12	-3
Ind	0	+1	+1	0	0	0	0	1	1	+1

Predicted Senate Control (110th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	19	27	46
Republican	12	40	52
Independent	2	0	2

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
46	30	16

Comments

MO -> Talent by 1

VA -> Webb by 1

MT -> Burns by 2

TN -> Corker by 5

AZ -> Kyl by 5

MD -> Cardin by 2

CT -> Lieberman by 9

RI -> Chafee by 2 (biggest stunner of the night)

NJ -> Menendez by 8

OH -> Brown by 5

PA -> Casey by 7

WA -> Cantwell by 11

MI -> Stabenow by 9

MN -> Klobuchar by 7

NV -> Ensign by 12

Member Comments

By: Angry_Weasel (D-VA) - 2006-11-05 @ 15:56:37

This will at least give the dems enough political capital to fillibuster the final takeover of the federal bench by the Federalist Society, if they win the house, if they don't they may not even by able to save social security...though whatever happens...I think this would be enough to slow down any invasion plans on Iran.

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2006 U.S. Senate	30/33	16/33	46/66	69.7%	1	2	257	T	465
2004 President	49/56	34/56	83/112	74.1%	3	193	926	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	79/89	50/89	129/178	72.5%

Links

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