Election 2006 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2006-10-23 Version:5

Prediction Map
Izixs Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Prediction Key	Confidence Key

Confidence Map
Izixs Map

Prediction States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	24
Rep	8
Ind	1
Non	17

Confidence States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	22
Rep	8
Ind	1
Tos	2
Non	17

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+6	+1	+7	0	0	0	14	3	17	+7
Rep	0	0	0	-6	-1	-7	8	0	8	-7
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0

Predicted Senate Control (110th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	24	27	51
Republican	8	40	48
Independent	1	0	1

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
48	31	17

Comments

A slight adjustment due to more information coming in. I'm tempted to flip Virginia to Allen, but am hesistant to due so despite webb still being a little behind in the polling. Kain was to at this point and he came out on top by a good margin. So I can't trust the pollsters for Virginia to have gotten it right quite yet.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

By: RepubforDem (R-IL) - 2006-10-24 @ 01:09:10

I still fail to see how Lamont will pull out a victory in this election.

By: Cuivienen (I-NJ) - 2006-10-24 @ 12:10:02

He may be counting Lieberman as a Dem.

By: RepubforDem (R-IL) - 2006-10-24 @ 13:33:57

ahh-hah

By: Izixs (D-NH) - 2006-10-25 @ 15:59:50

Indeed I am... barely... His party registration tis still dem last I checked so even if he be running on a different ballot slot, tis the technicalities that matter.

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank
2012 President	56/56	49/56	105/112	93.8%	4	4	4	T
2012 Senate	32/33	20/33	52/66	78.8%	1	4	74	T
2012 Governor	11/11	6/11	17/22	77.3%	1	4	51	T
2012 Rep Primary	47/52	23/52	70/104	67.3%	27	-	5	T
2011 Governor	4/4	2/4	6/8	75.0%	1	102	12	T
2010 Senate	25/37	12/37	37/74	50.0%	4	100	418	T
2010 Governor	25/37	13/37	38/74	51.4%	2	69	248	T
2008 President	52/56	47/56	99/112	88.4%	14	1	26	T
2008 Senate	32/33	16/33	48/66	72.7%	2	1	172	T
2008 Governor	11/11	7/11	18/22	81.8%	2	257	50	T
2008 Dem Primary	40/52	19/52	59/104	56.7%	12	-	47	T
2008 Rep Primary	35/49	17/49	52/98	53.1%	8	-	43	T
2007 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%	1	87	102	T
2006 U.S. Senate	31/33	17/33	48/66	72.7%	5	15	207	T
2006 Governor	33/36	16/36	49/72	68.1%	5	12	147	T
2004 President	48/56	26/56	74/112	66.1%	20	39	1527	T
Aggregate Predictions	484/559	292/559	776/1118	69.4%

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