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Data Sets

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Date of Prediction: 2006-11-06 Version:16

Prediction Map
Miamiu1027 Map


* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Prediction KeyConfidence Key
Prediction KeyConfidence Key

Confidence Map
Miamiu1027 Map


Prediction States Won
25 |
33 |
50 |
Dem22
 
pie
Rep9
 
Ind2
 
Non17
 

Confidence States Won
25 |
33 |
50 |
Dem18
 
pie
Rep9
 
Ind2
 
Tos4
 
Non17
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+60+60-1-114216+5
Rep000-60-6819-6
Ind0+1+1000011+1


Predicted Senate Control (110th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic222749
Republican94049
Independent202
pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
583325
piepiepie

Comments

Arizona

John Kyl (R) 52%
Jim Pederson (D) 45%

California

Diane Feinstein (D) 60%
Dick Mountjoy (R) 37%

Connecticut (Independent Pickup)

Joe Lieberman (CFL) 50%
Ned Lamont (D) 40%
Alan Schlesinger (R) 9%

Delaware

Tom Carper (D) 65%
Jan Ting (R) 31%

Florida

Bill Nelson (D) 61%
Katherine Harris (R) 36%

Hawaii

Daniel Akaka (D) 65%
Jerry Coffee (R) 34%

Indiana

Richard Lugar (R) 88%
Other 12%

Maine

Olympia Snowe (R) 72%
Hay Bright (D) 24%

Maryland

Ben Cardin (D) 52%
Michael Steele (R) 47%

Massachusetts

Ted Kennedy (D) 67%
Ken Chase (R) 33%

Michigan

Debbie Stabenow (D) 55%
Mike Bouchard (R) 42%

Minnesota

Amy Klobuchar (DFL) 56%
Mark Kennedy (R) 41%

Mississippi

Trent Lott (R) 66%
Erik Fleming (D) 33%

Missouri (Democratic Pickup)

Claire McCaskill (D) 51%
Jim Talent (R) 48%

Montana (Democratic Pickup)

Jon Tester (D) 51%
Conrad Burns (R) 48%

Nebraska

Ben Nelson (D) 58%
Pete Ricketts (R) 41%

Nevada

John Ensign (R) 55%
Jack Carter (D) 44%

New Jersey

Robert Menendez (D) 53%
Tom Kean, Jr. (R) 45%

New Mexico

Jeff Bingaman (D) 67%
Allen McCulloch (R) 33%

New York

Hillary Clinton (D) 66%
John Spencer (R) 32%

North Dakota

Kent Conrad (D) 62%
Dwight Grotberg (R) 37%

Ohio (Democratic Pickup)

Sherrod Brown (D) 54%
Mike DeWine (R) 45%

Pennsylvania (Democratic Pickup)

Robert Casey, Jr. (D) 56%
Rick Santorum (R) 44%

Rhode Island (Democratic Pickup)

Sheldon Whitehouse (D) 51%
Lincoln Chafee (R) 48%

Tennessee

Bob Corker (R) 53%
Harold Ford, Jr. (D) 46%

Texas

Kay Bailey Hutchinson (R) 65%
Barbara Ann Radnofsky (D) 34%

Utah

Orrin Hatch (R) 66%
Pete Ashdown (D) 32%

Vermont

Bernie Sanders (I) 62%
Richard Tarrant (R) 35%

Virginia (Democratic Pickup)

James Webb (D) 50%
George Allen (R) 49%

Washington

Maria Cantwell (D) 55%
Mike McGavick (R) 43%

West Virginia

Robert Byrd (D) 64%
John Raese (R) 35%

Wisconsin

Herb Kohl (D) 70%
Robert Lorge (R) 29%

Wyoming

Craig Thomas (R) 69%
Dale Groutage (D) 29%

NEW PROJECTED SENATE ALLIGNMENT: 49 Democratic 49 Republican 2 Independent


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2014 Senate 35/36 23/36 58/72 80.6% pie 1 3 60T
P 2012 President 55/56 43/56 98/112 87.5% pie 5 47 182T
P 2012 Rep Primary 23/52 11/52 34/104 32.7% pie 16 - 137T
P 2010 Senate 31/37 16/37 47/74 63.5% pie 2 99 280T
P 2008 President 52/56 46/56 98/112 87.5% pie 22 1 41T
P 2008 Senate 32/33 23/33 55/66 83.3% pie 13 1 28T
P 2008 Governor 11/11 6/11 17/22 77.3% pie 5 1 86T
P 2007 Governor 3/3 3/3 6/6 100.0% pie 1 92 1T
P 2006 U.S. Senate 33/33 25/33 58/66 87.9% pie 16 1 10T
P 2006 Governor 34/36 31/36 65/72 90.3% pie 13 1 1T
P 2004 President 56/56 41/56 97/112 86.6% pie 52 1 24T
Aggregate Predictions 365/409 268/409 633/818 77.4% pie


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