MT and RI-These races appear to be moving to the right at the last minute but I'm not sure if its too little to late. They remain Dem pickups but both are leaners now. This could change in the next day or so though.
MO and VA-The opposite is happening here. These ones are leaning left. After two ties, McCaskill has squeaked out the lead in 5 polls since then. In VA Webb suddenly burst over 50% in two polls and then led in 2 and tied in 1 in the subsequent 4 polls. After being behind for the entire race, this sudden move up is a dramatic shift to the left in the final days of the campaign.
MD-One recent poll has this one as a tie and while it is a close race it has been for the entire campaign. And Cardin has held the lead for the entire campaign. It'll be close but judging by history I still think this is safe Dem territory.
NJ-No longer in play in any real sense as far as I'm concerned. NJ voters are accustomed to corruption and this left leaning state isn't going to vote on corruption over Iraq and Bush.
The winners are already decided elsewhere.
Here's my house prediction based heavily on the analysis at RCP and CQ Politics. All districts listed are either in the RCP's top 50 and/or rated as highly competive by CQP.
Guaranteed Democratic gains: AZ-8, CO-7, FL-16, IN-8, OH-18, PA-10, PA-7, TX-22 (Dems hold IA-3, VT-AL, GA-8).
Likely Dem Gains: IA-1, NC-11, NM-1, NY-24, (Dems hold IL-8 and GA-12)
Lean Dem/tossup: CT-4, CT-5, FL-13, FL-22, IN-2, IN-9, NH-2, NY-20, OH-15, PA-6, WI-8
Lean Rep/tossup: AZ-1, AZ-5, CA-11, CT-2, ID-1, IL-6, KY-3, NY-19, NY-26, NY-29, OH-1, OH-2, PA-8, WA-8
Likely Rep. Holds: CA-4, CO-4, KY-4, MN-1, MN-6, NV-2, NV-3, NY-25, WY-AL
Garanteed Rep. Holds: CA-50, NE-1, NE-3, NJ-7, VA-2, PA-4
Final result: D-226 R-209