Election 2006 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2006-09-23 Version:1

Prediction Map

Ghostmonkey Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Ghostmonkey Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	15
Rep	16
Ind	2
Non	17

Confidence States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	14
Rep	13
Ind	2
Tos	4
Non	17

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+1	0	+1	-1	-2	-3	13	1	14	-2
Rep	+1	+1	+2	-1	0	-1	13	1	14	+1
Ind	0	+1	+1	0	0	0	0	1	1	+1

Predicted Senate Control (110th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	15	27	42
Republican	16	40	56
Independent	2	0	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
36	26	10

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User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2008 Dem Primary	16/52	5/52	21/104	20.2%		1	-	198	T	271
2006 U.S. Senate	26/33	10/33	36/66	54.5%		1	45	422	T	465
Aggregate Predictions	42/85	15/85	57/170	33.5%

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