Election 2006 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2006-11-04 Version:25

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	22
Rep	9
Ind	2
Non	17

Confidence States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	18
Rep	8
Ind	2
Tos	5
Non	17

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+6	0	+6	0	-1	-1	14	2	16	+5
Rep	0	0	0	-6	0	-6	8	1	9	-6
Ind	0	+1	+1	0	0	0	0	1	1	+1

Predicted Senate Control (110th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	22	27	49
Republican	9	40	49
Independent	2	0	2

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
53	33	20

Comments

Tennessee shifted to Corker, remains a tossup but I'm not optimistic that Ford can regain the lead, the damage has been done, this is probably Corker's race to lose at this point thanks I believe to racist advertising.

Montana trending towards Burns, for the first time possibly since I began this map Montana moves into the "tossup" collumn, still goes to Tester, but this race has tightened.

Missourri shifts from Talent to McCaskill, this will probably be the closest race on election, either that or Virginia.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2020 President	53/56	43/56	96/112	85.7%	3	6	130	T	684
2020 Senate	30/35	20/35	50/70	71.4%	2	4	274	T	423
2016 President	48/56	29/56	77/112	68.8%	2	25	369	T	678
2016 Senate	30/34	18/34	48/68	70.6%	2	0	164	T	362
2014 Senate	31/36	18/36	49/72	68.1%	3	6	231	T	382
2012 President	55/56	47/56	102/112	91.1%	4	14	47	T	760
2012 Senate	31/33	17/33	48/66	72.7%	6	8	144	T	343
2010 Senate	34/37	23/37	57/74	77.0%	12	1	100	T	456
2010 Governor	35/37	22/37	57/74	77.0%	3	0	91	T	312
2008 President	54/56	38/56	92/112	82.1%	13	1	178	T	1,505
2008 Senate	33/33	18/33	51/66	77.3%	7	1	96	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	6/11	17/22	77.3%	2	1	86	T	264
2006 U.S. Senate	33/33	20/33	53/66	80.3%	25	3	88	T	465
2006 Governor	34/36	11/36	45/72	62.5%	3	15	207	T	312
Aggregate Predictions	512/549	330/549	842/1098	76.7%

Links

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