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PredictionsEndorse2008 Senatorial Predictions - gumball machine (L-CA) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2008-10-27 Version:12

Prediction Map
gumball machine MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
gumball machine MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
25 |
33 |
50 |
Dem20
 
pie
Rep13
 
Ind0
 
Non17
 

Confidence States Won
25 |
33 |
50 |
Dem16
 
pie
Rep10
 
Ind0
 
Tos7
 
Non17
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+5+3+800012012+8
Rep000-5-3-811213-8
Ind0000000000


Predicted Senate Control (111th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic203656
Republican132639
Independent022
 pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
503317
piepiepie

Analysis

Unfortunately, it looks like Bob Conley cannot win when he is trailing by 10 points eight days before the election.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - hide

Version: 11

Any comments?


Version: 10

Bob Conley for Senate.


Version: 9

Ventura will defeat the two clowns running against him. is lazy.


Version: 8

the NJGOP made the wrong choice.


Version: 7

How do you enter your prediction for the second MS seat?


Version: 4

A potential Ventura run in my mind will improve Franken's chances.


Version: 2

Sabrin pulls an upset victory over Lautenburg. Go ahead and bash me for my optimism.


Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2022 Senate 31/35 28/35 59/70 84.3% pie 6 11 69T305
P 2022 Governor 32/36 25/36 57/72 79.2% pie 5 17 130T272
P 2020 President 55/56 44/56 99/112 88.4% pie 1 57 48T684
P 2020 Senate 32/35 21/35 53/70 75.7% pie 1 55 137T423
P 2016 President 50/56 31/56 81/112 72.3% pie 3 460 194T678
P 2016 Senate 32/34 20/34 52/68 76.5% pie 1 539 35T362
P 2016 Governor 9/12 8/12 17/24 70.8% pie 1 487 14T279
P 2015 Governor 2/3 2/3 4/6 66.7% pie 1 273 8T112
P 2014 Senate 33/36 27/36 60/72 83.3% pie 30 0 21T382
P 2014 Governor 28/36 17/36 45/72 62.5% pie 22 0 145T300
P 2010 Senate 33/37 22/37 55/74 74.3% pie 87 1 133T456
P 2010 Governor 35/37 23/37 58/74 78.4% pie 10 2 74T312
P 2009 Governor 1/2 1/2 2/4 50.0% pie 1 109 56T103
P 2008 President 52/56 41/56 93/112 83.0% pie 28 1 139T1,505
P 2008 Senate 33/33 17/33 50/66 75.8% pie 12 8 117T407
P 2008 Governor 10/11 7/11 17/22 77.3% pie 3 110 86T264
P 2008 Dem Primary 9/52 6/52 15/104 14.4% pie 2 - 213T271
P 2007 Governor 3/3 3/3 6/6 100.0% pie 3 78 1T167
P 2006 U.S. Senate 32/33 24/33 56/66 84.8% pie 39 1 31T465
P 2006 Governor 35/36 17/36 52/72 72.2% pie 17 9 107T312
Aggregate Predictions 547/639 384/639 931/1278 72.8% pie


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