PredictionsNewsEndorse2008 Senatorial Predictions - Gceres (R-CA) ResultsForumPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2008-10-30 Version:2

Prediction Map
Gceres Map


* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Prediction KeyConfidence Key
Prediction KeyConfidence Key

Confidence Map
Gceres Map


Prediction States Won
25 |
33 |
50 |
Dem19
 
pie
Rep14
 
Ind0
 
Non17
 

Confidence States Won
25 |
33 |
50 |
Dem15
 
pie
Rep12
 
Ind0
 
Tos6
 
Non17
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+4+3+700012012+7
Rep000-4-3-712214-7
Ind0000000000


Predicted Senate Control (111th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic193655
Republican142640
Independent022
pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
493217
piepiepie

Analysis

7 Democrat pick-ups

No GOP pick-ups


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments
 By: FrenchEd (D-NJ) 2008-10-30 @ 15:10:27
Wow, that map is a lot more on target than the Presidential one. Just like mine, in fact! ;-)
How come you don't see a GOP tidal wave in the House. After all, isn't McCain ahead in PA and ME? :-P
prediction Map

 By: wingindy (D-IN) 2008-10-30 @ 18:42:12
Yes, pretty good, GC. I'd make CO strong Dem., OR, NH & NC lean Dem., and GA toss-up. In fact, GA will remain undetermined until the Dec. runoff, IMHO. MN is a REAL toss-up, and may well go Franken for a +8 pickup pending GA runoff.prediction Map

 By: HILLBILLY (O-GBR) 2008-11-02 @ 17:03:24
GC - we are of the same mind. MN could tip Dem - this will be the big senate surprise of 08. I think Coleman will survive, just. I'm surprised Gordon Smith seems to be on his way out, however.prediction Map


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2012 President 51/56 37/56 88/112 78.6% pie 3 375 534T
P 2010 Senate 30/37 17/37 47/74 63.5% pie 1 196 280T
P 2008 President 49/56 37/56 86/112 76.8% pie 52 1 324T
P 2008 Senate 32/33 17/33 49/66 74.2% pie 2 5 144T
P 2008 Dem Primary 29/52 11/52 40/104 38.5% pie 1 - 106T
P 2008 Rep Primary 18/49 4/49 22/98 22.4% pie 2 - 152T
P 2007 Governor 2/3 1/3 3/6 50.0% pie 1 40 135T
P 2006 U.S. Senate 31/33 15/33 46/66 69.7% pie 2 26 257T
P 2006 Governor 30/36 18/36 48/72 66.7% pie 1 76 157T
P 2004 President 52/56 35/56 87/112 77.7% pie 6 21 474T
Aggregate Predictions 324/411 192/411 516/822 62.8% pie


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