Election 2008 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2008-11-03 Version:1

Prediction Map

siriusalphacma Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

siriusalphacma Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	20
Rep	13
Ind	0
Non	17

Confidence States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	19
Rep	11
Ind	0
Tos	3
Non	17

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+5	+3	+8	0	0	0	12	0	12	+8
Rep	0	0	0	-5	-3	-8	11	2	13	-8
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (111th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	20	36	56
Republican	13	26	39
Independent	0	2	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
59	33	26

Analysis

will electorate turnout be drastically different? consequential for GA, KY

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2008 President	54/56	43/56	97/112	86.6%		10	1	55	T	1,505
2008 Senate	33/33	26/33	59/66	89.4%		1	1	4		407
2008 Dem Primary	37/52	22/52	59/104	56.7%		13	-	47	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	39/49	19/49	58/98	59.2%		14	-	15	T	235
2006 U.S. Senate	33/33	26/33	59/66	89.4%		9	2	7	T	465
Aggregate Predictions	196/223	136/223	332/446	74.4%

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