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Date of Prediction: 2008-11-03 Version:3

Prediction Map
PGSable Map


* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Prediction KeyConfidence Key
Prediction KeyConfidence Key

Confidence Map
PGSable Map


Prediction States Won
25 |
33 |
50 |
Dem20
 
pie
Rep13
 
Ind0
 
Non17
 

Confidence States Won
25 |
33 |
50 |
Dem17
 
pie
Rep11
 
Ind0
 
Tos5
 
Non17
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+5+3+800012012+8
Rep000-5-3-811213-8
Ind0000000000


Predicted Senate Control (111th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic203656
Republican132639
Independent022
pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
573324
piepiepie

Analysis

Special elections:

Mississippi: R > 50%, lean
Wyoming: R > 60%, strong


Edit (November 3, 2008):

+10% to Democrats in Alaska, Iowa, North Carolina, and Oregon.

+10% to Republicans in Kansas and Tennessee.

-10% to Republicans in Nebraska.

Moved Colorado and Louisiana from lean Democratic to strong Democratic.

Moved Alaska from tossup to strong Democratic.

Moved Maine from lean Republican to strong Republican.

Moved Georgia and Kentucky from lean Republican to tossup.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2010 Senate 34/37 28/37 62/74 83.8% pie 1 2 21T
P 2010 Governor 35/37 28/37 63/74 85.1% pie 1 2 11T
P 2009 Governor 2/2 2/2 4/4 100.0% pie 2 1 1T
P 2008 President 53/56 43/56 96/112 85.7% pie 56 1 74T
P 2008 Senate 33/33 24/33 57/66 86.4% pie 3 1 9T
P 2008 Governor 11/11 5/11 16/22 72.7% pie 2 0 152T
P 2008 Dem Primary 45/52 24/52 69/104 66.3% pie 28 - 19
P 2008 Rep Primary 38/49 18/49 56/98 57.1% pie 25 - 21T
P 2007 Governor 3/3 3/3 6/6 100.0% pie 1 80 1T
Aggregate Predictions 254/280 175/280 429/560 76.6% pie


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