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Date of Prediction: 2008-10-28 Version:4

Prediction Map
Xahar Map


* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Prediction KeyConfidence Key
Prediction KeyConfidence Key

Confidence Map
Xahar Map


Prediction States Won
25 |
33 |
50 |
Dem18
 
pie
Rep15
 
Ind0
 
Non17
 

Confidence States Won
25 |
33 |
50 |
Dem17
 
pie
Rep14
 
Ind0
 
Tos2
 
Non17
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+3+3+600012012+6
Rep000-3-3-613215-6
Ind0000000000


Predicted Senate Control (111th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic183654
Republican152641
Independent022
pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
483117
piepiepie

Analysis

Smith is getting increasingly desperate, meaning he's probably going to lose.

Barkley is polling increasingly well. I'd put Coleman in the low 40s. This may decrease if Franken continues to be an epic fail candidate and Barkley continues to gain.

Stevens' conviction makes Alaska strong D (I hope).


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2012 Rep Primary 4/52 1/52 5/104 4.8% pie 5 - 217T
P 2009 Governor 1/2 1/2 2/4 50.0% pie 3 4 56T
P 2008 President 52/56 39/56 91/112 81.3% pie 7 1 200T
P 2008 Senate 31/33 17/33 48/66 72.7% pie 4 7 172T
P 2008 Governor 10/11 5/11 15/22 68.2% pie 1 7 183T
P 2008 Dem Primary 24/52 1/52 25/104 24.0% pie 3 - 177T
P 2008 Rep Primary 14/49 5/49 19/98 19.4% pie 2 - 162T
Aggregate Predictions 136/255 69/255 205/510 40.2% pie


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