Advertise on the Atlas

History Posters!
Race to the Moon

Election and History Posters from History Shots!
Note: click will open in new window if pop-ups allowed

Prediction Map



* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Prediction Key	Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		25 |	33 |	50 |
Dem	19
Rep	14
Ind	0
Non	17

Confidence States Won

		25 |	33 |	50 |
Dem	13
Rep	13
Ind	0
Tos	7
Non	17

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+4	+3	+7	0	0	0	12	0	12	+7
Rep	0	0	0	-4	-3	-7	12	2	14	-7
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (111th Congress):

Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats Democratic 19 36 55 Republican 14 26 40 Independent 0 2 2

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
45	32	13

Analysis

It is possible for Democrats to have a filibuster proof senate till 2010. With the independence caucusing with Democrats it makes 58-42. I can see Norm Coleman losing making 59-41. If Lieberman decides to caucus with the GOP it will change slightly, but most issues he will support Democrats. I don't see sixty because the Democrats will have to take Collins seat in Maine where she is doing very well and is liberal on some issues. Kentucky where McConnell is good. Now it is possible that a filibuster can work in some cases among Conservative Democrats like Bayh Indiana, Others in Florida, Nebraska, and Montana.

Prediction History

Comments History - show

Version History

4: 2008-10-27 @ 12:35:22 3: 2008-06-09 @ 21:53:33 2: 2008-05-19 @ 22:44:19 1: 2008-04-25 @ 01:35:51 View Version

Links

• View cmbeattie Gubernatorial Predictions
• View Most Recent Entries
• View Entries with Most Recent Member Comments
• Go to Senatorial Prediction Home