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Date of Prediction: 2008-11-03 Version:23

Prediction Map
tmthforu94 Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Prediction KeyConfidence Key
Prediction KeyConfidence Key

Confidence Map
tmthforu94 Map

Prediction States Won
25 |
33 |
50 |

Confidence States Won
25 |
33 |
50 |

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total

Predicted Senate Control (111th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages


My final Senatorial Prediction Map. I've finally relized that one of my favorite senators, Elizabeth Dole, will probably be defeated. Although a poll came out today with her leading Hagan, Hagan has the momentum.
Minnesota is the most confusing state, as all of the recent polls have one of the candidates leading my 4 or more points. There are no statistical ties in the poll, which I find amusing. Coleman squeeks one out, in the end.
Republican Sununu (sp?) and Stevens will be ousted. If Stevens would have dropped out earlier, Republicans would have won this seat.

So in the end, the Senate will look like this:

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2014 Senate 35/36 27/36 62/72 86.1% pie 22 0 4T
P 2014 Governor 29/36 18/36 47/72 65.3% pie 19 0 97T
P 2013 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 3 13 17T
P 2012 President 53/56 39/56 92/112 82.1% pie 62 1 435T
P 2012 Senate 30/33 17/33 47/66 71.2% pie 26 1 164T
P 2012 Governor 10/11 6/11 16/22 72.7% pie 14 1 89T
P 2012 Rep Primary 43/52 22/52 65/104 62.5% pie 43 - 22T
P 2011 Governor 4/4 1/4 5/8 62.5% pie 14 1 37T
P 2010 Senate 34/37 27/37 61/74 82.4% pie 128 1 34T
P 2010 Governor 33/37 25/37 58/74 78.4% pie 114 1 74T
P 2009 Governor 2/2 2/2 4/4 100.0% pie 18 1 1T
P 2008 President 49/56 36/56 85/112 75.9% pie 67 1 357T
P 2008 Senate 32/33 19/33 51/66 77.3% pie 23 1 96T
P 2008 Governor 10/11 7/11 17/22 77.3% pie 16 1 86T
Aggregate Predictions 366/406 247/406 613/812 75.5% pie

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