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Date of Prediction: 2008-11-03 Version:23

Prediction Map
tmthforu94 Map


* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Prediction KeyConfidence Key
Prediction KeyConfidence Key

Confidence Map
tmthforu94 Map


Prediction States Won
25 |
33 |
50 |
Dem19
 
pie
Rep14
 
Ind0
 
Non17
 

Confidence States Won
25 |
33 |
50 |
Dem16
 
pie
Rep13
 
Ind0
 
Tos4
 
Non17
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+4+3+700012012+7
Rep000-4-3-712214-7
Ind0000000000


Predicted Senate Control (111th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic193655
Republican142640
Independent022
pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
513219
piepiepie

Analysis

My final Senatorial Prediction Map. I've finally relized that one of my favorite senators, Elizabeth Dole, will probably be defeated. Although a poll came out today with her leading Hagan, Hagan has the momentum.
Minnesota is the most confusing state, as all of the recent polls have one of the candidates leading my 4 or more points. There are no statistical ties in the poll, which I find amusing. Coleman squeeks one out, in the end.
Republican Sununu (sp?) and Stevens will be ousted. If Stevens would have dropped out earlier, Republicans would have won this seat.

So in the end, the Senate will look like this:
Democratic:56
Republican:42
Independant:2


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2014 Senate
P 2014 Governor
P 2013 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 3 13 17T
P 2012 President 53/56 39/56 92/112 82.1% pie 62 1 435T
P 2012 Senate 30/33 17/33 47/66 71.2% pie 26 1 164T
P 2012 Governor 10/11 6/11 16/22 72.7% pie 14 1 89T
P 2012 Rep Primary 43/52 22/52 65/104 62.5% pie 43 - 22T
P 2011 Governor 4/4 1/4 5/8 62.5% pie 14 1 37T
P 2010 Senate 34/37 27/37 61/74 82.4% pie 128 1 34T
P 2010 Governor 33/37 25/37 58/74 78.4% pie 114 1 74T
P 2009 Governor 2/2 2/2 4/4 100.0% pie 18 1 1T
P 2008 President 49/56 36/56 85/112 75.9% pie 67 1 357T
P 2008 Senate 32/33 19/33 51/66 77.3% pie 23 1 96T
P 2008 Governor 10/11 7/11 17/22 77.3% pie 16 1 86T
Aggregate Predictions 302/334 202/334 504/668 75.4% pie


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