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Date of Prediction: 2008-11-02 Version:4

Prediction Map
Smash255 Map


* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Prediction KeyConfidence Key
Prediction KeyConfidence Key

Confidence Map
Smash255 Map


Prediction States Won
25 |
33 |
50 |
Dem20
 
pie
Rep13
 
Ind0
 
Non17
 

Confidence States Won
25 |
33 |
50 |
Dem18
 
pie
Rep12
 
Ind0
 
Tos3
 
Non17
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+5+3+800012012+8
Rep000-5-3-811213-8
Ind0000000000


Predicted Senate Control (111th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic203656
Republican132639
Independent022
pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
533320
piepiepie

Analysis

Tossup = <5
Lean = 5-10
Strong = >10

Noteables

North Carolina Hagan + 3.7%
Oregon Merkley + 6.8%
Minnesota Fraken + 2.4%
Colorado Udall + 13.8%
New Mexico Udall + 15.2%
New Hampshire Shaheen + 11.7%
Alaska Begich + 17.8%
Virginia Warner + 28.8%

Maine Collins + 8.1%
Georgia Chambliss + 3.1%
McConnell 5.7%
Louisiana Lanreiu + 8.3%


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2014 Senate 32/36 25/36 57/72 79.2% pie 3 4 82T
P 2014 Governor 31/36 14/36 45/72 62.5% pie 2 1 145T
P 2012 President 56/56 46/56 102/112 91.1% pie 1 2 47T
P 2012 Senate 32/33 22/33 54/66 81.8% pie 1 2 40T
P 2010 Senate 34/37 24/37 58/74 78.4% pie 4 1 86T
P 2010 Governor 37/37 26/37 63/74 85.1% pie 2 1 11T
P 2008 President 54/56 46/56 100/112 89.3% pie 16 2 13T
P 2008 Senate 33/33 20/33 53/66 80.3% pie 4 2 57T
P 2008 Governor 11/11 10/11 21/22 95.5% pie 2 2 3T
P 2007 Governor 3/3 2/3 5/6 83.3% pie 1 158 58T
P 2006 U.S. Senate 33/33 24/33 57/66 86.4% pie 15 2 20T
P 2006 Governor 35/36 23/36 58/72 80.6% pie 10 1 44T
P 2004 President 49/56 33/56 82/112 73.2% pie 2 139 1036T
Aggregate Predictions 440/463 315/463 755/926 81.5% pie


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