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Date of Prediction: 2008-11-03 Version:14

Prediction Map
Inks.LWC Map


* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Prediction KeyConfidence Key
Prediction KeyConfidence Key

Confidence Map
Inks.LWC Map


Prediction States Won
25 |
33 |
50 |
Dem19
 
pie
Rep14
 
Ind0
 
Non17
 

Confidence States Won
25 |
33 |
50 |
Dem19
 
pie
Rep14
 
Ind0
 
Tos0
 
Non17
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+4+3+700012012+7
Rep000-4-3-712214-7
Ind0000000000


Predicted Senate Control (111th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic193655
Republican142640
Independent022
pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
553223
piepiepie

Analysis

State Previous Current Reasoning
AK R50T D50L I think the guilty verdict finally did it in for him. Although I’m not going to mark it as “Strong” because those Alaskan’s sure love their Uncle Ted, and weirder things have happened.
MN R40T R40L I think I’m confident enough to take it out of the Toss-Up category now.
NC D50T D50L Again, I’m confident enough to make this a “Lean” instead of “Toss-Up.”


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2014 Senate
P 2014 Governor
P 2013 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 2 6 17T
P 2012 President 54/56 46/56 100/112 89.3% pie 7 1 115T
P 2012 Senate 30/33 18/33 48/66 72.7% pie 5 1 144T
P 2012 Governor 10/11 7/11 17/22 77.3% pie 2 1 51T
P 2012 Rep Primary 43/52 22/52 65/104 62.5% pie 37 - 22T
P 2011 Governor 3/4 1/4 4/8 50.0% pie 1 332 79T
P 2010 Senate 34/37 28/37 62/74 83.8% pie 16 0 21T
P 2010 Governor 35/37 27/37 62/74 83.8% pie 8 0 17T
P 2009 Governor 2/2 2/2 4/4 100.0% pie 5 6 1T
P 2008 President 51/56 45/56 96/112 85.7% pie 32 1 74T
P 2008 Senate 32/33 23/33 55/66 83.3% pie 14 1 28T
P 2008 Governor 11/11 6/11 17/22 77.3% pie 10 1 86T
P 2008 Dem Primary 42/52 26/52 68/104 65.4% pie 30 - 20T
P 2008 Rep Primary 41/49 19/49 60/98 61.2% pie 31 - 11T
P 2007 Governor 3/3 2/3 5/6 83.3% pie 4 21 58T
P 2006 U.S. Senate 30/33 17/33 47/66 71.2% pie 10 2 232T
P 2006 Governor 34/36 25/36 59/72 81.9% pie 14 1 36T
P 2004 President 51/56 25/56 76/112 67.9% pie 24 4 1441T
Aggregate Predictions 508/563 340/563 848/1126 75.3% pie


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