Election 2008 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2008-11-01 Version:3

Prediction Map

downwithdaleft Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

downwithdaleft Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	15
Rep	18
Ind	0
Non	17

Confidence States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	12
Rep	14
Ind	0
Tos	7
Non	17

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+1	+2	+3	0	0	0	12	0	12	+3
Rep	0	0	0	-1	-2	-3	15	3	18	-3
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (111th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	15	36	51
Republican	18	26	44
Independent	0	2	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
38	28	10

Analysis

Final prediction

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2010 Senate	28/37	13/37	41/74	55.4%		1	351	375	T	456
2009 Governor	2/2	0/2	2/4	50.0%		1	108	56	T	103
2008 President	40/56	20/56	60/112	53.6%		6	3	1330	T	1,505
2008 Senate	28/33	10/33	38/66	57.6%		3	3	371	T	407
2008 Governor	8/11	5/11	13/22	59.1%		1	343	232	T	264
2007 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%		1	171	102	T	167
2006 U.S. Senate	28/33	16/33	44/66	66.7%		19	2	299	T	465
2006 Governor	26/36	12/36	38/72	52.8%		15	10	268	T	312
Aggregate Predictions	162/211	78/211	240/422	56.9%

Links

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