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PredictionsEndorse2010 Senatorial Predictions - rosin (I-DNK) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2010-11-01 Version:1

Prediction Map
rosin MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
rosin MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
19 |
37 |
37 |
Dem12
 
pie
Rep24
 
Ind1
 
Non0
 

Confidence States Won
19 |
37 |
37 |
Dem9
 
pie
Rep23
 
Ind0
 
Tos5
 
Non0
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem000-3-4-79312-7
Rep+3+4+70-1-110717+6
Ind0+1+1000000+1


Predicted Senate Control (112th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic123850
Republican242347
Independent123
 pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 74)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
593623
piepiepie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Member Comments
 By: rosin (I-DNK) 2010-11-03 @ 09:18:15 prediction Map
Right now, I have predicted the right winner in all the called states - but the percentages don't look very good. As far as I can see, they are wrong in HI, WA, NV, ND, SD, KS, OK, FL, MD, VT and NH. But still, I think it is OK, taking into consideration that most of them were mere shooting from the hip.
 By: rosin (I-DNK) 2010-11-05 @ 12:32:42 prediction Map
OK, Bennet managed to eek it out in Colorado, so this prediction becomes also wrong along with its percentage. And I doubt seriously, if more than 40% of the Alaskan vote will be legal Murkowski votes, so it becomes 58-59/72 or 80.6%-81.9%

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2014 Senate 32/36 20/36 52/72 72.2% pie 1 0 177T382
P 2012 President 56/56 50/56 106/112 94.6% pie 1 0 1T760
P 2010 Senate 36/37 23/37 59/74 79.7% pie 1 1 63T456
P 2008 President 53/56 40/56 93/112 83.0% pie 2 0 139T1,505
Aggregate Predictions 177/185 133/185 310/370 83.8% pie



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