Election 2010 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2010-11-02 Version:3

Prediction Map

ground_x Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

ground_x Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		19 \|	37 \|	37 \|
Dem	15
Rep	21
Ind	1
Non	0

Confidence States Won

		19 \|	37 \|	37 \|
Dem	10
Rep	20
Ind	0
Tos	7
Non	0

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	0	0	-2	-2	-4	10	5	15	-4
Rep	+2	+2	+4	0	-1	-1	10	7	17	+3
Ind	0	+1	+1	0	0	0	0	0	0	+1

Predicted Senate Control (112th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	15	38	53
Republican	21	23	44
Independent	1	2	3

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 74)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
57	35	22

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - hide

Version History

Member Comments

By: ground_x (D-NY) 2010-11-02 @ 15:26:04
I really have no call in Colorado. I do think the Democratic GOTV effort can pull PA, IL and NEV--but this may be wishful thinking. Alas, it doesn't look good for Sen Russ Feingold...

By: nkpatel1279 (D-MA) 2010-11-02 @ 15:32:49
The Democratic GOTV effort will most likely in IL and NV. Sestak-PA like Feingold-WI will come up short.

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2022 Senate	35/35	30/35	65/70	92.9%		1	0	3	T	305
2022 Governor	35/36	28/36	63/72	87.5%		1	0	11	T	272
2020 President	53/56	38/56	91/112	81.3%		3	6	359	T	684
2020 Senate	32/35	19/35	51/70	72.9%		1	4	241	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	8/11	19/22	86.4%		1	5	10	T	293
2018 Senate	32/35	23/35	55/70	78.6%		6	0	67	T	483
2018 Governor	32/36	26/36	58/72	80.6%		5	2	56	T	372
2016 President	50/56	30/56	80/112	71.4%		8	0	246	T	678
2016 Senate	30/34	16/34	46/68	67.6%		4	0	252	T	362
2016 Governor	9/12	3/12	12/24	50.0%		2	0	164	T	279
2014 Senate	31/36	22/36	53/72	73.6%		5	0	158	T	382
2014 Governor	30/36	15/36	45/72	62.5%		3	1	145	T	300
2012 President	55/56	43/56	98/112	87.5%		8	1	182	T	760
2012 Senate	31/33	20/33	51/66	77.3%		6	1	94	T	343
2012 Governor	11/11	8/11	19/22	86.4%		2	1	5	T	228
2010 Senate	35/37	22/37	57/74	77.0%		3	0	100	T	456
2010 Governor	34/37	23/37	57/74	77.0%		2	1	91	T	312
2008 President	52/56	41/56	93/112	83.0%		7	0	139	T	1,505
2008 Senate	33/33	18/33	51/66	77.3%		1	0	96	T	407
2008 Dem Primary	31/52	14/52	45/104	43.3%		2	-	85	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	14/49	5/49	19/98	19.4%		1	-	162	T	235
2006 U.S. Senate	33/33	19/33	52/66	78.8%		4	0	113	T	465
2006 Governor	35/36	16/36	51/72	70.8%		3	0	122	T	312
2004 President	54/56	44/56	98/112	87.5%		30	2	14	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	798/907	531/907	1329/1814	73.3%

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