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Date of Prediction: 2010-11-01 Version:13

Prediction Map
shua Map


* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Prediction KeyConfidence Key
Prediction KeyConfidence Key

Confidence Map
shua Map


Prediction States Won
19 |
37 |
37 |
Dem10
 
pie
Rep27
 
Ind0
 
Non0
 

Confidence States Won
19 |
37 |
37 |
Dem8
 
pie
Rep22
 
Ind0
 
Tos7
 
Non0
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem000-5-4-97310-9
Rep+5+4+900010818+9
Ind0000000000


Predicted Senate Control (112th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic103848
Republican272350
Independent022
pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 74)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
613328
piepiepie

Analysis

It's looking like Miller still has at least 35 percent support. I'm thinking valid Murkowski write-ins will likely fall short of that, but AK and WA are the true toss-ups, and we won't know the results in either case for a while after election night.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2014 Senate
P 2014 Governor
P 2012 President 54/56 34/56 88/112 78.6% pie 16 0 534T
P 2012 Senate 32/33 20/33 52/66 78.8% pie 5 3 74T
P 2012 Governor 10/11 9/11 19/22 86.4% pie 3 12 5T
P 2012 Rep Primary 41/52 22/52 63/104 60.6% pie 28 - 27T
P 2010 Senate 33/37 28/37 61/74 82.4% pie 13 1 34T
P 2010 Governor 33/37 23/37 56/74 75.7% pie 6 1 106T
P 2008 President 47/56 30/56 77/112 68.8% pie 8 1 625T
P 2008 Senate 30/33 14/33 44/66 66.7% pie 4 2 281T
P 2008 Dem Primary 40/52 22/52 62/104 59.6% pie 13 - 36T
P 2008 Rep Primary 41/49 23/49 64/98 65.3% pie 15 - 3T
Aggregate Predictions 361/416 225/416 586/832 70.4% pie



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