Election 2010 Senatorial Predictions

Note: The Google advertisement links below may advocate political positions that this site does not endorse.

Advertisements

Advertise on the Atlas

Election Data

Become a Member

History Posters!
US Army

Election and History Posters from History Shots!
Note: click will open in new window if pop-ups allowed

Date of Prediction: 2010-11-01 Version:13

Prediction Map
shua Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Prediction Key	Confidence Key

Confidence Map
shua Map

Prediction States Won

		19 \|	37 \|	37 \|
Dem	10
Rep	27
Ind	0
Non	0

Confidence States Won

		19 \|	37 \|	37 \|
Dem	8
Rep	22
Ind	0
Tos	7
Non	0

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	0	0	-5	-4	-9	7	3	10	-9
Rep	+5	+4	+9	0	0	0	10	8	18	+9
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (112th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	10	38	48
Republican	27	23	50
Independent	0	2	2

Prediction Score (max Score = 74)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
61	33	28

Analysis

It's looking like Miller still has at least 35 percent support. I'm thinking valid Murkowski write-ins will likely fall short of that, but AK and WA are the true toss-ups, and we won't know the results in either case for a while after election night.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank
2012 President	54/56	34/56	88/112	78.6%	16	0	534	T
2012 Senate	32/33	20/33	52/66	78.8%	5	3	74	T
2012 Governor	10/11	9/11	19/22	86.4%	3	12	5	T
2012 Rep Primary	41/52	22/52	63/104	60.6%	28	-	27	T
2010 Senate	33/37	28/37	61/74	82.4%	13	1	34	T
2010 Governor	33/37	23/37	56/74	75.7%	6	1	106	T
2008 President	47/56	30/56	77/112	68.8%	8	1	625	T
2008 Senate	30/33	14/33	44/66	66.7%	4	2	281	T
2008 Dem Primary	40/52	22/52	62/104	59.6%	13	-	36	T
2008 Rep Primary	41/49	23/49	64/98	65.3%	15	-	3	T
Aggregate Predictions	361/416	225/416	586/832	70.4%