Election 2010 Senatorial Predictions

Note: The Google advertisement links below may advocate political positions that this site does not endorse.

Date of Prediction: 2010-11-01 Version:20

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

Confidence States Won

State Pick-ups

Predicted Senate Control (112th Congress):

Prediction Score (max Score = 74)

Analysis

The expose of the media trying to throw the election in Alaska will probably result in Miller getting elected.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

By: JohnLV (O-NV) 2010-11-01 @ 01:27:39
Whether Miller or Murkowski wins in Alaska the effect will be the same, a Republican hold.

By: BushCountry (I-IN) 2010-11-01 @ 10:36:56
Whoa, wait, John, hold on. What ever happened to the Democratic wave that was building into a tsunami?

By: BushCountry (I-IN) 2010-11-01 @ 11:05:45
I've look at this map for half an hour, and I want to know, is this map with or without momentum polling? Because I have a feeling that that makes a difference, where for example momentum polling showed Lee Fisher winning the Ohio race.

By: Olawakandi (G-CA) 2010-11-01 @ 11:26:23
I think you hit the nail on the coffin. The PPP polls have been trending GOP where for the last few weeks it was trending democratic. I think we will see some surprises, though like Reid winning and Patty Murray losing.

By: BushCountry (I-IN) 2010-11-01 @ 11:32:02
You talking to him or to me?

By: Olawakandi (G-CA) 2010-11-01 @ 11:32:59
I was talking to you.

By: BushCountry (I-IN) 2010-11-01 @ 11:38:13
I was being facetious. Nevada is close, and could go either way. I don't see any "movement" of any significance here. Washington: Rossi is closing the gap, but I think Murray has been ahead for too long and most of the votes are already in in Wash.

By: BushCountry (I-IN) 2010-11-01 @ 11:38:44
The problem with momentum is that there's no guarantee it will continue.

By: BushCountry (I-IN) 2010-11-01 @ 11:39:48
In any other state, I'd think Rossi could pull it out. Not in Washington. However, it's going to be the closest race Murray's ever had and we may not know who's won before Wednesday.

By: albaleman (D-MN) 2010-11-01 @ 15:57:18
Manchin will win in WV, JohnLV. Still though, this is the most realistic map I've seen from you in a long time. Last Edit: 2010-11-01 @ 16:03:04

By: albaleman (D-MN) 2010-11-01 @ 15:59:05
Look at his version 19 people. He has Christine O'Donnell and Linda McMahon winning and Chuck Grassley, Richard Burr, Rob Portman, and Kelly Ayotte losing. It's the strangest map I've ever seen. Last Edit: 2010-11-01 @ 16:06:51

User's Predictions

Links

	Senatorial Predictions - Most Recent
	Senatorial Predictions - Most Recent Comments
	Senatorial Predictions Home