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History of the Parties

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Prediction Map



* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Prediction Key	Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		19 |	37 |	37 |
Dem	13
Rep	24
Ind	0
Non	0

Confidence States Won

		19 |	37 |	37 |
Dem	10
Rep	19
Ind	0
Tos	8
Non	0

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	0	0	-3	-3	-6	9	4	13	-6
Rep	+3	+3	+6	0	0	0	10	8	18	+6
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (112th Congress):

Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats Democratic 13 38 51 Republican 24 23 47 Independent 0 2 2

Prediction Score (max Score = 74)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
58	34	24

Analysis

Reluctantly flipped Nevada and Illinois to GOP. I know the polls show PA going to Toomey, but I have a feeling Dem turnout is predicted to be too low in the polls and I feel that Sestak will pull it off. Colorado is as tossup as tossup can get, but I will give the edge to Bennet.

Prediction History

Comments History - show

Version History

4: 2010-11-01 @ 23:23:41 3: 2010-10-27 @ 16:33:51 2: 2010-10-21 @ 17:16:36 1: 2010-03-07 @ 15:06:52 View Version