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PredictionsEndorse2010 Senatorial Predictions - Du_Chateau (I-OH) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2010-05-21 Version:1

Prediction Map
Du_Chateau MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
Du_Chateau MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
19 |
37 |
37 |
Dem20
 
pie
Rep15
 
Ind1
 
Non1
 

Confidence States Won
19 |
37 |
37 |
Dem18
 
pie
Rep15
 
Ind1
 
Tos2
 
Non1
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+1+4+5-1-2-313215+2
Rep+1+2+3-1-5-611112-3
Ind0+1+1000000+1


Predicted Senate Control (112th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic203858
Republican152338
Independent123
 pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 74)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
33249
piepiepie

Analysis

The best I think that the Democratic party can do this election cycle.


Member Comments
 By: MilesC56 (I-VA) 2010-05-21 @ 20:30:10 prediction Map
I think I'd add in AR and LA if I were making a Dem. best-case scenario map. But, yeah, I'd like this to happen.
 By: dnul222 (D-MN) 2010-05-22 @ 07:00:19 prediction Map
Although this seems like a long shot- a lot can happen between Rand Paul's mouth and November....of course I would love to keep Arkansas...
 By: BushCountry (I-IN) 2010-05-22 @ 23:39:52 prediction Map
Let me be as blunt as possible: You two will be weeping salty tears come November.
 By: KS21 (I-KS) 2010-05-23 @ 08:57:49 prediction Map
Harry Reid getting over 40% of the vote is like a felon running unopposed in South Dakota. Not happening.

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2020 President 51/56 28/56 79/112 70.5% pie 2 6 637T684
P 2020 Senate 29/35 19/35 48/70 68.6% pie 1 4 337T423
P 2018 Senate 30/35 15/35 45/70 64.3% pie 3 3 392T483
P 2018 Governor 31/36 15/36 46/72 63.9% pie 2 11 285T372
P 2016 President 44/56 22/56 66/112 58.9% pie 7 0 614T678
P 2016 Senate 28/34 16/34 44/68 64.7% pie 3 5 302T362
P 2014 Senate 28/36 17/36 45/72 62.5% pie 1 42 282T382
P 2014 Governor 26/36 13/36 39/72 54.2% pie 1 42 253T300
P 2012 President 56/56 42/56 98/112 87.5% pie 2 1 182T760
P 2012 Senate 32/33 12/33 44/66 66.7% pie 2 1 211T343
P 2010 Senate 24/37 9/37 33/74 44.6% pie 1 165 441T456
P 2008 President 53/56 35/56 88/112 78.6% pie 4 6 276T1,505
P 2004 President 52/56 22/56 74/112 66.1% pie 19 6 1527T1,994
Aggregate Predictions 484/562 265/562 749/1124 66.6% pie


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