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Date of Prediction: 2010-11-01 Version:4

Prediction Map
K.Dobrev Map


* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Prediction KeyConfidence Key
Prediction KeyConfidence Key

Confidence Map
K.Dobrev Map


Prediction States Won
19 |
37 |
37 |
Dem11
 
pie
Rep26
 
Ind0
 
Non0
 

Confidence States Won
19 |
37 |
37 |
Dem9
 
pie
Rep22
 
Ind0
 
Tos6
 
Non0
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem000-4-4-88311-8
Rep+4+4+800010818+8
Ind0000000000


Predicted Senate Control (112th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic113849
Republican262349
Independent022
pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 74)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
613427
piepiepie

Analysis

Final prediction.
Changes:
Manchin has moved so far to the right that it's almost impossible to tie him to Obama and Raese has committed enough gaffes to swing this back into the Democratic (or perhaps DINO) column.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2012 President 55/56 41/56 96/112 85.7% pie 4 1 265T
P 2012 Senate 31/33 16/33 47/66 71.2% pie 2 1 164T
P 2012 Governor 10/11 7/11 17/22 77.3% pie 2 1 51T
P 2012 Rep Primary 15/52 9/52 24/104 23.1% pie 7 - 183
P 2011 Governor 3/4 1/4 4/8 50.0% pie 1 30 79T
P 2010 Senate 34/37 27/37 61/74 82.4% pie 4 1 34T
P 2010 Governor 34/37 27/37 61/74 82.4% pie 4 0 29T
P 2009 Governor 2/2 2/2 4/4 100.0% pie 1 1 1T
P 2008 President 54/56 46/56 100/112 89.3% pie 12 0 13T
P 2008 Senate 33/33 23/33 56/66 84.8% pie 3 1 14T
P 2008 Governor 11/11 7/11 18/22 81.8% pie 2 1 50T
P 2008 Dem Primary 32/52 8/52 40/104 38.5% pie 6 - 106T
P 2008 Rep Primary 35/49 18/49 53/98 54.1% pie 5 - 36T
P 2007 Governor 3/3 2/3 5/6 83.3% pie 3 11 58T
P 2006 U.S. Senate 33/33 21/33 54/66 81.8% pie 5 3 65T
P 2006 Governor 35/36 24/36 59/72 81.9% pie 3 1 36T
Aggregate Predictions 420/505 279/505 699/1010 69.2% pie



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