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Date of Prediction: 2012-10-03 Version:6

Prediction Map
Aguagon Map


* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Prediction KeyConfidence Key
Prediction KeyConfidence Key

Confidence Map
Aguagon Map


Prediction States Won
17 |
33 |
50 |
Dem20
 
pie
Rep11
 
Ind2
 
Non17
 

Confidence States Won
17 |
33 |
50 |
Dem15
 
pie
Rep7
 
Ind2
 
Tos9
 
Non17
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+10+1-1-2-314418-2
Rep+1+2+3-1-1-2538+1
Ind0+1+1000101+1


Predicted Senate Control (113th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic203050
Republican113748
Independent202
pie

Analysis

And Baldwin regains a pretty definite lead, proving, once again, that I'm bad at this.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2014 Senate
P 2014 Governor
P 2013 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 1 64 17T
P 2012 President 55/56 47/56 102/112 91.1% pie 7 1 47T
P 2012 Senate 32/33 24/33 56/66 84.8% pie 7 1 11T
P 2012 Governor 10/11 6/11 16/22 72.7% pie 4 1 89T
P 2012 Rep Primary 37/52 16/52 53/104 51.0% pie 23 - 64T
P 2010 Senate 34/37 27/37 61/74 82.4% pie 8 0 34T
P 2010 Governor 35/37 28/37 63/74 85.1% pie 4 0 11T
P 2009 Governor 2/2 2/2 4/4 100.0% pie 5 21 1T
P 2008 President 54/56 47/56 101/112 90.2% pie 13 1 6T
P 2008 Senate 32/33 23/33 55/66 83.3% pie 8 1 28T
P 2008 Governor 11/11 8/11 19/22 86.4% pie 3 1 27T
P 2008 Dem Primary 39/52 22/52 61/104 58.7% pie 20 - 38T
P 2008 Rep Primary 38/49 21/49 59/98 60.2% pie 17 - 14
P 2007 Governor 3/3 3/3 6/6 100.0% pie 1 169 1T
P 2006 U.S. Senate 31/33 27/33 58/66 87.9% pie 7 2 10T
P 2006 Governor 35/36 23/36 58/72 80.6% pie 8 1 44T
Aggregate Predictions 450/503 325/503 775/1006 77.0% pie



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