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Date of Prediction: 2012-10-03 Version:1

Prediction Map
dgentile Map


* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Prediction KeyConfidence Key
Prediction KeyConfidence Key

Confidence Map
dgentile Map


Prediction States Won
17 |
33 |
50 |
Dem24
 
pie
Rep7
 
Ind2
 
Non17
 

Confidence States Won
17 |
33 |
50 |
Dem21
 
pie
Rep6
 
Ind2
 
Tos4
 
Non17
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+2+1+30-1-115520+2
Rep0+1+1-2-2-4426-3
Ind0+1+1000101+1


Predicted Senate Control (113th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic243054
Republican73744
Independent202
pie

Analysis

MT - Tester just barely holds seat
IN - Donnelly scratches out victory
ND,MO,MA - Women empower women
NV,AZ - Latinos topple Heller, Flake squeaks by
FL - Mack is whack
VA - Macaca not forgotten or forgiven


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2012 President 53/56 36/56 89/112 79.5% pie 2 1 508T
P 2012 Senate 32/33 16/33 48/66 72.7% pie 1 34 144T
P 2010 Senate 26/37 16/37 42/74 56.8% pie 4 48 359T
P 2008 President 54/56 35/56 89/112 79.5% pie 5 12 247T
P 2008 Senate 32/33 18/33 50/66 75.8% pie 1 29 117T
P 2006 U.S. Senate 30/33 17/33 47/66 71.2% pie 3 77 232T
P 2004 President 46/56 24/56 70/112 62.5% pie 5 76 1629T
Aggregate Predictions 273/304 162/304 435/608 71.5% pie



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